Skip to main content

Finance & Investment

Peer-to-peer lending white-ants the banks

BECAUSE Australia’s banks increasingly refuse to handle loans to small-to-medium enterprises (SMEs) – and seem incapable of accurately pricing business risk – so-called peer-to-peer lenders are set to take the lion’s share of this $240 billion annual market.

That is the early experience and opinion of new online marketplace invoice lender FundX founder and CEO, David Jackson.

He said it has led to a $240 billion yearly opportunity for investors to enter the SME debt market via peer-to-peer and marketplace mechanisms. Mr Jackson also said this opportunity is likely to increase as banks tighten their lending amid global stock market volatility and pressure from the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA), “opening the door for peer-to-peer and marketplace lenders with more sophisticated credit assessment technology to rapidly scoop up market share”. 

“Assessing and pricing risk in the SME debt market can be highly challenging as business owners often struggle to demonstrate evidence of cash flow, credit history, or financial status and behavior,” Mr Jackson said.

“For this reason, banks often take a far more conservative approach than is necessary, or price their loans substantially higher than they do for larger enterprises – despite SMEs being far less able to absorb this expense into their budgets.

“Credit decisioning tech-platforms that leverage data counting packages, big data and machine learning, on the other hand, are able to overcome these challenges by assessing non-traditional data en-masse, including hundreds of online and social media data points.

“The outcome is forward-looking risk-adjusted pricing based on current, not past, performance, negating the need to provide mountains of paperwork or demonstrate a lengthy credit history.”

Reserve Bank data showed about 25,000 SME loans valued at around $20 billion were being rejected needlessly each month in Australia, adding up to $240 billion dollars over the course of each year, Mr Jackson said.

A research report by Macquarie Bank into the threat posed to banks by fintech stated “digital disruption is the number one issue facing the (banking) industry today” and “the longer-term threat remains lending disintermediation”.

The report also noted a number of occasions where banks had attempted to upgrade their technological capacities in order to keep up, but that they were “running materially over time/budget”.

Ex-Commonwealth Bank and Royal Bank of Scotland employee-turned-fintech founder, John Pellew of financial data analytics firm, Othera, said the issue was structural within the banking system and so was unlikely to be resolved quickly.

“The business models of banks are simply not designed to adequately support unsecured or small business lending, and their technological capabilities are significantly behind those of alternate lenders who are able to move much more rapidly and personalise loans more accurately to individual applicants,” Mr Pellew said.

Australia’s two million SMEs employ about 70 percent of the workforce and account for over half of the output of the private sector, rendering their health vital to the health of the Australian economy, Mr Jackson said.

“By not servicing this all-important market segment, we are strangling the engine room of the Australian economy – small business.”

He said FundX loan rates began at 1.5 percent, compared with traditional invoice factoring companies and the big four banks which have rates of around 4-5 percent when all fees and charges were taken into account.

“A decision on the application can also be made in under a single minute, and funds delivered to approved applicants within 24 hours,” Mr Jackson said.

Since its soft launch just a few months ago, FundX has taken enquiries for more than $4 million and has funded close to $1 million of invoices without a single dollar spent on marketing. It is currently in negotiations for a $10 million facility, and a capital raise from sophisticated investors and a number of financial institutions.

www.fundx.com.au

ends

Warnings on tech. sector values: InterFinancial

MERGERS and acquisitions specialists InterFinancial have identified a concerning trend for investors in technology companies – the decline in the value of software-as-a-service (SaaS) financial model companies.

“One of InterFinancial’s sector specialties is ICT so we follow trends in technology fairly closely,” managing director Sharon Doyle wrote in a recent report. “One trend that we have noticed in the US-listed technology stocks is a decline in valuations for SaaS.” 

Ms Doyle said there may be a window of opportunity for Australian technology businesses to sell sooner rather than later, “before the trends from the US market catch up”.

“SaaS software is sold via a subscription model where users ‘opt-out’ versus the traditional licence model that is sold via annual renewals and users are instead ‘opting-in’. This leads to a substantial difference in the model for consumer engagement and creates a higher level of stickiness and thus recurring revenue,” Ms Doyle said.

“The forward revenue multiple for public SaaS companies in the US has dropped by 57 percent in two years. While the market was sitting at its frothy highs of 7.7-times revenue in early 2014, it then levelled off to 5-6-times revenue in 2015, and a steep decline to 3.3-times in recent months.

“This got us thinking – is the Australian market for technology experiencing a similar impact? Admittedly the markets are different, and Australian investors are significantly behind the US in the shift in investment to technology, especially early-stage,” Ms Doyle said.

“But does the US market indicate what we might see in the Australian market? 

“We analysed the revenue multiples of ‘established technology companies’ against ‘emerging technology companies’ and noted that over the past 12 months, there has not been a decline in valuation multiples in Australia.

“In fact there have been slight improvements and Australian multiples are now consistent with those listed technology companies in the US.”

One of the factors InterFinancial considers when performing a valuation is the quality and strength of the future cash flows. The data revealed that the emerging technology companies, as anticipated, are still in steep growth mode.

“Typically for companies in a similar basket we would see higher valuation multiples for those companies with a higher revenue growth forecast,” Ms Doyle said. “However, another influencing factor is the quality of future cash flows, which are typically stronger with more established businesses that have diversity in revenue streams – thus mitigating risks from any revenue concentration.

“So despite the lower growth forecast for the established technology companies, they are showing a higher average revenue multiple.”

“Our history at InterFinancial tells us that the trends we see in our own business activity are not reflective of the public equity markets. We primarily assist privately-owned businesses and there is always activity in those businesses with solid fundamentals, regardless of the state of the market reported on the front pages of newspapers.

“We are currently seeing good deal flow despite the fluctuations in the global stock markets and ensuing negative reporting in the financial press.”

www.interfinancial.com.au

ends

IPA urgently calls for SME loan guarantee scheme

THE Institute of Public Accountants (IPA) is urging the Federal Government to introduce a state-backed loan guarantee scheme for small business.

“On average, 28,000 Australian businesses per annum face a binding finance constraint, whilst 118,000 face some access to finance issues,” IPA chief executive officer, Andrew Conway said

“To help increase the availability of much-needed affordable loan finance to the small business sector, the Federal Government should introduce a state-backed loan guarantee scheme.

“Australia is one of the only countries in the developed world without such a scheme.

“A limited state-backed guarantee would encourage banks and other commercial lenders to increase loan finance available to small business.

“Evidence presented in the Australian Small Business White Paper suggests that by international standards, the cost of debt for Australian small businesses is high and risk-adjusted lending is not the norm in Australia.

“There is a strong case for designing and implementing a loan guarantee program in Australia to help remedy the specific problems of smaller and younger start-ups unable to finance new investment opportunities through normal commercial channels.

“Access to responsible and affordable finance will help many small businesses reinvest in their businesses and help create new ideas, new capacity and new jobs.

“When appropriately designed and administered, loan guarantee programs can deliver value for taxpayers through their support of employment, growth, productivity, innovation and exporting,” Mr Conway said.

The IPA’s recommendation for the small business loan guarantee scheme forms part of the IPA’s pre-Budget submission for 2016-17.

For the IPA’s complete pre-Budget submission go to http://bit.ly/1PVGJX7   

ends

IPA calls for venture capital to boost Australia’s entrepreneurialism

THE entrepreneurial environment in Australia can be improved with the introduction of a publicly supported venture capital (VC) fund, according to the Institute of Public Accountants (IPA).

In its 2016-17 pre-Budget submission, the IPA has recommended the Federal Government introduce the VC fund by either providing a significant proportion of funds to assist VC managers to attract other institutional investors to publicly supported VC funds, or by becoming an institutional investor in a range of individual VC funds. 

“This level of support by government to small business equity finance will improve small business innovation and entrepreneurialism,” said IPA chief executive officer, Andrew Conway.

“This critically needed support will also be a driver to identify and overcome hurdles to successful and profitable investment.

“Many young firms face funding problems, particularly in uncertain technological or new knowledge environments because of their unattractiveness to bank lenders.

“It is a lost opportunity to the Australian economy when innovative firms with high commercial potential are constrained by the absence of external finance.

“Any government with a strong commitment to economic growth via research and development and investment which facilitates greater enterprise and innovation activity must ensure that early-stage venture capital finance remains available to high potential, young firms.

“Otherwise, we risk a reduction in new commercialisation opportunities stemming from national investments in science and technology,” Mr Conway said.

IPA pre-Budget submission: http://bit.ly/1PVGJX7

ends

Small business crowd funding legislation set

LEGISLATION was introduced to Federal Parliament in its final sitting for 2015 that aims to to provide a framework for crowd-sourced equity funding  – a case of the government playing market catch-up. But other elements in the package take a lead in helping to create alternative funding markets to traditional property-equity banking sources.

The legislation will allow unlisted public companies with less than $5 million in assets and less than $5 million in annual turnover to raise up to $5 million in funds in any 12 month period.  The Federal Government believes its framework has advantages over current crowd funding schemes in competitive countries, such as the US. 

The fact that the Small Business Minister and Assistant Treasurer, Kelly O’Dwyer, has had to describe the process more completely as crowd-sourced equity funding (CSEF) is an indicator of the chase the legislators are engaged in to equip and foster this market with a framework that, up until now, has lagged behind countries such as the US and the UK.

Until this legislation passes, crowd funding rules in Australia do not allow companies to deliver equity for investment – so far it has been limited to products and services in exchange for small investment tranches.

Many Australian start-ups have been flummoxed by the existing rules and some have sought to register for funding through other jurisdictions. The delay has been explained as ‘protecting’ small investors.

“Today’s announcement is a key priority of the Turnbull Government’s National Innovation and Science Agenda,” Ms O’Dwyer said.

“CSEF or crowd funding is an emerging way for start-ups and early stage businesses to access the funding and investors they need, while maintaining adequate protections for retail investors who share in the risks and successes of these businesses.

“Following extensive consultation, the legislation will allow unlisted public companies with less than $5 million in assets and less than $5 million in annual turnover to raise up to $5 million in funds in any 12 month period,” the Minister said. 

“Companies that become an unlisted company in order to access crowd-sourced equity funding will receive a holiday of up to five years from some reporting and governance requirements.

“The Turnbull Government recognises the need to allow investors to make informed decisions and companies raising funds through crowd funding will be required to release an offer document.

“While investors will be able to invest an unlimited sum in crowdfunding, there will be a cap of $10,000 per issuer per 12-month period to ensure that mum and dad investors are not exposed to excessive risks.

“Australia’s CSEF model is competitive globally with the issuer cap of $5 million each year higher than the US and New Zealand cap, and the investor cap of $10,000 per issuance higher than the average in New Zealand and the UK.

“Intermediaries will play an important gatekeeper role and will need to conduct checks on companies before listing their offer. Intermediaries will be required to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence, providing issuers and investors with confidence in the integrity of the intermediary.

“Ongoing responsibility for issuing licenses for intermediaries and monitoring the operation of the crowd-sourced equity funding framework will sit with ASIC.

“Regulations to support the framework for crowd-sourced equity funding will be released for consultation shortly. The government will also consult on options to facilitate crowd-sourced debt funding in 2016,” Ms O’Dwyer said.

www.industry.gov.au

ends

Private equity to drive Australia’s ‘next tech’

EXTRA >>

THE chronic, historical dearth of financial support for ‘next technology’ entrepreneurs in Australia will finally be answered by private equity firms.

That is the view of Dropbox Australia country manager Charlie Wood, who said private equity firms will be pivotal to the survival of Australia’s next generation of technology start-ups – providing funding, business strategy and connections – in his keynote speech at the recent AMMA Private Equity Spring Conference.

AMMA, founded in 2008, is a private equity accounting firm network that is best known for its primary support of disruptive music platform Guvera, raising $90 million in capital for the Australian start-up that is gearing for an IPO this year. 

Mr Wood said Australia had no shortage of entrepreneurs with good ideas, but there was a gap between having a good idea and turning that into a successful company.

“In my experience as someone who has run two different start-ups in the enterprise social media space, I have found that there has been a lack of support available in Australia for entrepreneurs to drive their ideas forward,” Mr Wood said.

“This support would come in the form of introductions to major domestic and international contacts, suggestions for business strategy, funding questions and the ability to help these ideas turn into sustainable companies.

“This space is where local private equity firms can bridge the gap.  Instead of entrepreneurs reaching out to Silicon Valley, which is already inundated with people looking for help, they can build a successful start-up with the support of a private equity firm who not only raises capital but also takes a role in driving the company forward.”

AMMA Private Equity sources and manages investment opportunities in the technology and mobile sectors.  Its key investments include music stream service Guvera, app development company AMMA Apps Investments, and sports portal Sportkix.

AMMA Private Equity CEO Paul Jansz said Australian technology start-ups, with the right support from private equity firms, had enormous potential to achieve growth, success and returns.

“One of the key issues that entrepreneurs struggle with is understanding where and how to fund their million-dollar idea, and that’s where we come into the picture,” Mr Janz said.

“In return, we are able to access some of the world’s most exciting pre-IPO investment opportunities and offer them to clients of our global accounting firm network.  When you think about how technology touches our daily lives, from how we find information to how communicate with each other, you realise how innovative and limitless the tech space is. 

“Australia has already proven its ability to contribute to the mobile and technology sectors, and with the right support from private equity firms there’s no doubt our next generation of tech start-ups can bolster our position as a global player.”

Representatives from more than 100 accountancy firms across Australia and Asia attended the annual AMMA Private Equity Spring Conference in early September at Hayman Island, Queensland.

The conference also heard updates on AMMA’s key technology and mobile investments.

Mr Wood said there were key similarities between Dropbox and Guvera that provided a strong foundation for future success.

“Cloud platforms like Dropbox and Guvera have the ability to understand how their customers use their services,” Mr Wood said. “This facilitates real time feedback into how the offerings should evolve and how to better serve customers, both existing and new.  This is an incredibly powerful part of the growth strategy of a SaaS platform.

“Both technology platforms have also been effective in developing key channels and partners that have helped to drive scalable distribution.  For example, Xero’s partnership with Dropbox and Lenovo and Brightstar’s partnership with Guvera.

“At the end of the day, apart from funding and business strategy, a successful start-up needs to have scarcity and scale.  Every product needs a point of differentiation and the ability to drive significant user numbers.”

www.ammaequity.com

 

ends

Morgans demonstrate what’s driving A$

EXTRA >> CONFUSION over what is driving the current behaviour of the Australian dollar has prompted Morgans Financial to issue a review of economic factors at play – and predict the ‘Aussie’ will settle at about  US70cents by year end.

According to Morgans research, often investors look at the wrong signals and must grasp the reality that surges in capital investment – such as what Australia experienced in the early stages of the mining boom – can act to drive both interest and exchange rates up or down, depending on stages of a cycle. 

“Over the last year, we have seen the Australian dollar fall and interest rates fall at the same time,” Morgans research director, Roger Leaning reported.

“Many people are used to the idea that falling interest rates lead to a falling exchange rate. Fewer people are used to the idea that surges in capital investment drive both interest and exchange rates up and down at the same time.

“Commodity price stimulated investment is a good example of how investment affects interest and exchange rates particularly in Australia,” he said.

“Back in 1998, commodity prices were at the end of a cycle of long term decline and low levels of mining investment in Australia leading to  low long term Australian interest rates relative to US 10 year bonds and a low Australian dollar exchange rate.

“However, cycles come and go and the low commodity prices of the late 90s turned into a multi-year commodity price boom.”

Mr Leaning said this had an unusual, but logical effect.

“By 2010 record high commodity prices attracted record high Australian investment, which in turn led to long term Australian interest rates increasing to a level 2.5 percent higher than US 10 year bonds and a substantial rise in the value of the Australian dollar,” he said.

“Since 2010, the cycle has rolled over again. A big investment in mining has led to global increases in commodity supply and downward pressure on prices.

“The subsequent decline in mining investment means that long term Australian rates are now falling relative to the US,” Mr Leaning said. “In February 2015, Australian 10 year bond yields were just 0.5 percent higher than US 10 year bonds.

“So it is no great surprise that the Australian dollar is depreciating. Indeed by the end of this year (2015), we forecast Australian cash rates to be 2 percent or lower (currently 2.25%) and expect the Australian dollar to bottom around US$0.70.  

“And then, yet another investment cycle will slowly emerge …”

* Morgans Financial Ltd is an industry expert member of Queensland Leaders, the organisation fostering and mentoring the state’s next generation of leading companies.

www.morgans.com.au

www.queenslandleaders.com.au

ends

ends